Bitcoin (BTC)

There's an argument that deflationary money is "bad" because people won't spend it. But people spend money on things they need/want regardless of whether it's going up in value. Nobody holds their bitcoin and starves. Nobody skips their kid's birthday because their purchasing power is improving. The "deflation kills spending" argument was invented by economists whose entire framework depends on inflation being permanent and necessary. It isn't.

⚠️ Last night's non-farm payroll report can be described as a cliff‑falling weakening, delivering the worst employment data since the pandemic: Employment fell by 92,000, directly shattering the fragile narrative of a stabilizing labor market in January. The Fed's biggest headache is this scenario— In theory, terrible payrolls call for rate cuts; But Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, and oil prices can easily surge toward $100, the abyss of inflation awaits the Fed. Structural inflation + low‑employment boom + uneven economic recovery + policy chaos + geopolitical risk + GDP can rise without people = Even if a great Taoist god appears, he still can't become this Fed Chair! Now all dollar assets except ultra‑short bonds are falling in sync, and the crypto space won't be immune. So, just lie low and pretend dead for the next two months! The more you hustle, the more you lose!

End of my trades! As explained yesterday, if the price does not hold $70,000 and especially if the Strait of Hormuz is not secured by the US Navy, leading to higher oil prices, I prefer to cut my trades now even though I have margin with my SLs because it is better to lose a little than to lose a lot… I will wait until Trump takes over and BTC goes back above $72,300 to do the same trades again, but in the meantime I will not touch anything. First false start but the second will be the right one. Trump cannot afford to leave the situation as it is because his image and respect are at stake; even if he wins this war, his goal of low energy falls apart and things will only get worse, so good luck to him for the midterms if he does not act. Later I talk about $72,300 but if a first convoy is carried out and BTC price is not yet at that level, I will probably enter earlier. I explain everything in yesterday's video. Wait & See

The degens wait until the bottom to get bearish and flip short. You really can’t make this up. $BTC https://t.co/anhhFF5Sai

It’s a log periodic structure as befits the discrete scale invariance expected for a continuous scale invariant (power law adhering) monetary network. The graph is the log price residuals after subtracting the power law. No 4 year cycles. Fundamental and subharmonic modes dominate and some small contribution from other harmonics. The spacing is in logarithmic time with a ratio of 2.07 determined via Fourier analysis of the residuals and confirmed by wavelet analysis. A complete treatment includes phase which is stable over time for the fundamental. @Fidelity Personal note: they couldn’t support some of my accounts after I moved overseas because of the 86 years old Investment Company Act of 1940. So more went into third millennial monetary technology under my own direction.

GM Brothers and Sisters ✅The importance of holding for at least 3 years: Data shows that holding Bitcoin for less than 3 years carries a relatively high risk of loss. Once held for a full 3 years, the probability of loss drops dramatically to only 0.7% Holding for 5 years reduces the loss probability to 0.2%, and for 10 years it becomes 0% ✅Extremely high risk in short-term holding: The probability of loss when holding for 1 year is about 24.3%; day trading has an even higher loss probability of 47.1% The article emphasizes Bitcoin’s high volatility, making it easy to get shaken out or suffer losses in the short term ✅Comparison of buying at bull vs. bear market tops/bottoms: 1⃣Buying near market peaks: Holding for 2 years could result in a 48.6% loss, but extending to 3 years turns into a 108.7% profit 2⃣Buying at the 2021 peak: 2 years resulted in a 43.5% loss, but 3 years yielded a 14.5% profit 3⃣Buying at bear market bottoms: Returns of several times to over 10x within 2–3 years are common ✅Data sources and time range: Primarily based on Bitwise research, analyzing Bitcoin price history from July 2010 to February 2026; supplemented by TradingView charts covering cycles since 2017 ✅Current market context: Bitcoin’s realized price is approaching $55,000, and the shifted realized price is around $42,000 These levels have historically often acted as cycle lows and good accumulation zones The article suggests that the current period may be a favorable time for long-term holding ✅Investment conclusion: Don’t expect quick profits—Bitcoin is suited for long-term holding Bitwise also notes that adding roughly 5% Bitcoin to a portfolio and holding for 3 years has historically shown a 93% win rate －－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－ Many people hope to maximize their profits by "buying low and selling high" But very few actually succeed and profit consistently in the long run For most people "buy and hold" is the strategy with the highest probability of success Always remember one thing "Time in the market" is more important than "Timing the market" Plan accordingly & Choose wisely ✨May your life radiant with Bitcoin✨

🌕 Blood Moon (Total Eclipse) The day the moon turns red. Strangely, it coincides with #Bitcoin's major bottom 😳 📅 21 Jan 2019 BTC $3,331 📅 8 Nov 2022 BTC $15,563 📅 3 Mar 2026 BTC $66,154 Coincidence!? Anomaly!? 🫣 But the market always "Crypto is dead" reverses when it is said. Bookmark this and revisit in 3 months 😉 #BTC #Bitcoin

Going long based on the recent low price; it'll probably create a gap over the weekend.