Still holding large bags of $ZEC $HYPE $TAO, ethereum:0xfaba6f8e4a5e8ab82f62fe7c39859fa577269be3
No plans to touch those bags for a few years.
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$ZEC
The ZEC thesis I've been laying out since May continues to play out almost exactly as expected.
Remember when people were telling me near the top this wasn't how it was going to unfold?
We've already seen price lose the macro swing pivot at $405, triggering the breakdown back into the $300s.
Unsurprisingly, it's now attempting to reclaim that level to undertake another Type 2 distribution.
This has been one of the defining characteristics of ZEC over the last year. We've repeatedly seen 10% daily swings as price whipsaws around key levels.
Step 1. Lose a major support.
Step 2. Temporarily reclaim it to trap buyers and sweep the opposite side.
Step 3. Reject to print the next lower high.
Step 4. Continue the downtrend.
We've seen that exact sequence play out multiple times inside this descending channel, with each rally eventually rejecting from the upper trendline.
Now we're approaching the apex of this decision point.
Either ZEC finally breaks out of the channel and invalidates the bearish structure to set another lower high pivot, or this reclaim fails, $400 is lost again, and the downtrend continues.
$ZEC
This is where Zcash gets its chance to prove my relief rally thesis wrong.
So far, we've seen the chart rally up to the shoulder base at $520, then correct 20% back into the previous lower high at $440.
If it holds $440 and forms a higher low, it still has enough structure for another breakout attempt, which would invalidate my thesis.
On the other hand, if it loses $440, it confirms the relief rally set the macro lower high, and we've likely seen the November fractal play out.
Personally, I'm predicting a little bounce here, then continuation lower.
Just calling it as I see it.
interesting...gonna start thinking of how to potentially take advantage of this red market with some zec options. been waiting for this.
i see you https://t.co/0LL8F7CVg9
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Probabilistic Price Forecast (Next 24 Hours)This prediction is an experimental technical product and is provided for reference purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Unexpected real-world events may significantly impact market behavior. Traders should make decisions with caution.
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