Overtime (OVER)

Base App home screen being the “trade” tab is wild

imagine being a web2 person onboarded via a facebook ad and this is the first thing you see

you’re uninstalling in 30 seconds https://t.co/X09TiAQ1hd

Took Kalshi for a spin opened an account, completed SSN KYC, and traded a few event contracts on @Kalshi to see how regulated prediction markets actually feel

It's different from the on‑chain hustle. Kalshi is a CFTC-designated DCM: markets close, outcomes are decided off‑chain in a human‑governed process (often 1-12 hours), and cash settlement lands in USD after processing (I saw ~3 hours from settlement to balance update). ACH and card rails still impose deposit/withdrawal holds (ACH 2-3 days, some withdrawals 7-30 day holds). Crypto outs via ZeroHash moved in ~30 minutes with limits

Compared to Polymarket (speed + composability) and Overtime ($OVER niche depth), Kalshi sells regulatory finality and fiat certainty, not instant on‑chain finality

If you want predictable payout and US cash rails, Kalshi is compelling if you need immediate onchain triggers, maybe less so. Where do you draw the line between speed and certainty in prediction markets?

Overtime. @Polymarket. @Kalshi.

Two of these have become household names, featuring in news reports, magazines, and even South Park episodes.

One feels vastly underrated.

Since Christmas is here and there are great games to bet on, here is a quick, unsolicited comparison of them from the perspective of sports betting.